|
The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
DECEMBER 2005 KEY POINTS
Trend
The December 2005 trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (80,692) decreased 0.5% compared with the November 2005 estimate. This is the tenth consecutive month in which the trend estimate has recorded a decrease. Since December 2004, the trend estimate has decreased 2.2%.
Decreases were recorded in December 2005 compared with November 2005 for the trend estimate of sales of passenger vehicles (0.7%), sports utility vehicles (0.2%) and other vehicles (0.2%). Compared with December 2004, decreases were recorded for sales of passenger vehicles (2.5%) and sports utility vehicles (5.8%), while sales of other vehicles showed an increase of 2.1%.
Most states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles in December 2005 compared with November 2005, with Tasmania (2.2%) and the Northern Territory (2.1%) recording the largest decreases. South Australia (0.4%), Western Australia (0.3%) and Victoria (0.2%) all recorded increases over this time.
When compared with December 2004, all states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles, except Western Australia which recorded an increase of 11.1%. Tasmania recorded the largest decrease (10.8%).
Seasonally adjusted
The December 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (81,096) increased 0.8% compared with the November 2005 estimate.
Increases were recorded in seasonally adjusted estimates for sports utility vehicles (8.1%) and other vehicles (1.0%) in December 2005 compared with November 2005, while passenger vehicles recorded a decrease of 1.4%.
When the seasonally adjusted estimates for December 2005 were compared with November 2005, five states and territories recorded increases with Tasmania (8.7%) and the Northern Territory (5.7%) recording the largest increases. Western Australia (2.0%), the Australian Capital Territory (1.9%) and South Australia (0.8%) recorded decreases.
Sales of new motor vehicles, December 2005
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 24,455 | 21,785 | 17,341 | 5,275 | 8,710 | 1,584 | 761 | 1,185 | 81,096 |
Trend | 24,278 | 21,466 | 17,286 | 5,294 | 8,871 | 1,556 | 737 | 1,204 | 80,692 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.4 | -0.8 | -2.0 | 8.7 | 5.7 | -1.9 | 0.8 |
Trend | -0.9 | 0.2 | -1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | -2.2 | -2.1 | -1.6 | -0.5 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | -1.1 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 10.1 | 20.9 | -5.5 | 9.8 | -2.1 | 3.5 |
Trend | -7.3 | -0.6 | -1.5 | -2.1 | 11.1 | -10.8 | -2.5 | -5.4 | -2.2 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
| | |
January 2006 | 21 February 2006 | |
February 2006 | 22 March 2006 | |
March 2006 | 24 April 2006 | |
April 2006 | 22 May 2006 | |
May 2006 | 22 June 2006 | |
June 2006 | 21 July 2006 | |
| | |
TREND REVISIONS
Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.
1 | The January 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the December 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%. |
2 | The January 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the December 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%. |
The percentage change of 3.6% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.6%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
| | |
| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) | | |
| | |
Original | | |
| | |
2004 | October | 52,290 | 13,907 | 15,470 | 81,667 | 4.8 | -5.5 | -2.2 | 1.5 | | |
| November | 52,888 | 15,257 | 16,190 | 84,335 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | | |
| December | 48,673 | 14,311 | 15,996 | 78,980 | -8.0 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -6.3 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 43,075 | 13,826 | 12,664 | 69,565 | -11.5 | -3.4 | -20.8 | -11.9 | | |
| February | 50,645 | 15,478 | 14,886 | 81,009 | 17.6 | 11.9 | 17.5 | 16.5 | | |
| March | 53,280 | 17,348 | 15,798 | 86,426 | 5.2 | 12.1 | 6.1 | 6.7 | | |
| April | 46,645 | 13,749 | 15,936 | 76,330 | -12.5 | -20.7 | 0.9 | -11.7 | | |
| May | 50,420 | 15,329 | 17,981 | 83,730 | 8.1 | 11.5 | 12.8 | 9.7 | | |
| June | 60,720 | 18,229 | 22,958 | 101,907 | 20.4 | 18.9 | 27.7 | 21.7 | | |
| July | 48,931 | 13,716 | 15,652 | 78,299 | -19.4 | -24.8 | -31.8 | -23.2 | | |
| August | 53,650 | 15,173 | 17,356 | 86,179 | 9.6 | 10.6 | 10.9 | 10.1 | | |
| September | 52,118 | 15,080 | 17,242 | 84,440 | -2.9 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -2.0 | | |
| October | 48,434 | 12,503 | 15,181 | 76,118 | -7.1 | -17.1 | -12.0 | -9.9 | | |
| November | 52,751 | 14,252 | 16,535 | 83,538 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 9.7 | | |
| December | 47,945 | 15,046 | 16,286 | 79,277 | -9.1 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -5.1 | | |
| | |
Seasonally adjusted | | |
| | |
2004 | October | 52,259 | 15,786 | 16,656 | 84,701 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.3 | | |
| November | 50,363 | 15,129 | 15,826 | 81,318 | -3.6 | -4.2 | -5.0 | -4.0 | | |
| December | 48,274 | 13,982 | 16,089 | 78,345 | -4.1 | -7.6 | 1.7 | -3.7 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 52,748 | 16,040 | 17,172 | 85,960 | 9.3 | 14.7 | 6.7 | 9.7 | | |
| February | 52,875 | 16,219 | 16,071 | 85,165 | 0.2 | 1.1 | -6.4 | -0.9 | | |
| March | 49,944 | 15,766 | 15,654 | 81,364 | -5.5 | -2.8 | -2.6 | -4.5 | | |
| April | 51,115 | 15,023 | 16,808 | 82,946 | 2.3 | -4.7 | 7.4 | 1.9 | | |
| May | 50,970 | 14,585 | 16,665 | 82,220 | -0.3 | -2.9 | -0.9 | -0.9 | | |
| June | 51,000 | 14,264 | 16,561 | 81,825 | 0.1 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.5 | | |
| July | 50,872 | 14,656 | 16,448 | 81,976 | -0.3 | 2.7 | -0.7 | 0.2 | | |
| August | 51,604 | 14,788 | 17,185 | 83,577 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 2.0 | | |
| September | 51,565 | 15,930 | 17,043 | 84,538 | -0.1 | 7.7 | -0.8 | 1.1 | | |
| October | 48,618 | 14,123 | 16,329 | 79,070 | -5.7 | -11.3 | -4.2 | -6.5 | | |
| November | 49,963 | 13,976 | 16,552 | 80,491 | 2.8 | -1.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | | |
| December | 49,273 | 15,108 | 16,715 | 81,096 | -1.4 | 8.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | | |
| | |
Trend | | |
| | |
2004 | October | 49,486 | 15,233 | 16,174 | 80,893 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | | |
| November | 50,110 | 15,379 | 16,256 | 81,745 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | | |
| December | 50,672 | 15,543 | 16,298 | 82,513 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 51,079 | 15,634 | 16,318 | 83,031 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | | |
| February | 51,263 | 15,607 | 16,329 | 83,199 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | | |
| March | 51,281 | 15,429 | 16,347 | 83,057 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 0.1 | -0.2 | | |
| April | 51,244 | 15,175 | 16,418 | 82,837 | -0.1 | -1.6 | 0.4 | -0.3 | | |
| May | 51,180 | 14,932 | 16,531 | 82,643 | -0.1 | -1.6 | 0.7 | -0.2 | | |
| June | 51,107 | 14,740 | 16,649 | 82,496 | -0.1 | -1.3 | 0.7 | -0.2 | | |
| July | 51,021 | 14,667 | 16,750 | 82,438 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 0.6 | -0.1 | | |
| August | 50,886 | 14,698 | 16,781 | 82,365 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.1 | | |
| September | 50,553 | 14,721 | 16,747 | 82,021 | -0.7 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -0.4 | | |
| October | 50,148 | 14,701 | 16,710 | 81,559 | -0.8 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.6 | | |
| November | 49,757 | 14,671 | 16,672 | 81,100 | -0.8 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.6 | | |
| December | 49,407 | 14,646 | 16,639 | 80,692 | -0.7 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.5 | | |
| | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
| |
| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. | |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | |
| |
Original | |
| |
2004 | October | 25,621 | 22,747 | 16,079 | 5,413 | 7,875 | 1,981 | 709 | 1,242 | 81,667 | |
| November | 26,619 | 23,052 | 17,117 | 5,450 | 8,157 | 1,944 | 694 | 1,302 | 84,335 | |
| December | 24,315 | 21,700 | 16,537 | 4,998 | 7,341 | 2,245 | 647 | 1,197 | 78,980 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 22,467 | 18,015 | 14,530 | 4,466 | 6,931 | 1,478 | 560 | 1,118 | 69,565 | |
| February | 25,754 | 20,580 | 17,837 | 5,489 | 7,880 | 1,431 | 776 | 1,262 | 81,009 | |
| March | 27,474 | 21,963 | 19,114 | 5,452 | 8,623 | 1,571 | 888 | 1,341 | 86,426 | |
| April | 24,329 | 19,497 | 16,789 | 5,034 | 7,329 | 1,371 | 858 | 1,123 | 76,330 | |
| May | 26,204 | 21,882 | 18,221 | 5,534 | 8,066 | 1,639 | 912 | 1,272 | 83,730 | |
| June | 30,695 | 25,402 | 24,613 | 6,561 | 9,986 | 2,052 | 1,183 | 1,415 | 101,907 | |
| July | 24,905 | 19,923 | 17,559 | 4,794 | 7,684 | 1,435 | 764 | 1,235 | 78,299 | |
| August | 26,292 | 22,552 | 19,330 | 5,458 | 8,714 | 1,689 | 751 | 1,393 | 86,179 | |
| September | 25,457 | 22,044 | 18,344 | 5,243 | 9,125 | 2,151 | 793 | 1,283 | 84,440 | |
| October | 22,949 | 20,289 | 16,026 | 5,030 | 8,349 | 1,655 | 659 | 1,161 | 76,118 | |
| November | 25,716 | 22,428 | 17,181 | 5,500 | 9,107 | 1,667 | 690 | 1,249 | 83,538 | |
| December | 23,054 | 22,110 | 16,208 | 5,335 | 8,664 | 2,080 | 690 | 1,136 | 79,277 | |
| |
Seasonally adjusted | |
| |
2004 | October | 26,070 | 23,484 | 17,486 | 5,670 | 7,967 | 1,955 | 788 | 1,281 | 84,701 | |
| November | 25,667 | 21,548 | 17,177 | 5,255 | 8,012 | 1,700 | 722 | 1,237 | 81,318 | |
| December | 24,730 | 20,870 | 17,170 | 4,791 | 7,204 | 1,676 | 693 | 1,211 | 78,345 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 27,420 | 22,656 | 18,065 | 5,597 | 8,316 | 1,844 | 756 | 1,306 | 85,960 | |
| February | 27,469 | 21,601 | 18,406 | 5,656 | 8,133 | 1,713 | 859 | 1,328 | 85,165 | |
| March | 26,172 | 20,849 | 17,371 | 5,333 | 7,734 | 1,760 | 785 | 1,360 | 81,364 | |
| April | 26,009 | 21,213 | 18,508 | 5,429 | 8,269 | 1,591 | 780 | 1,147 | 82,946 | |
| May | 25,378 | 21,428 | 18,211 | 5,413 | 8,104 | 1,671 | 791 | 1,224 | 82,220 | |
| June | 24,874 | 21,304 | 18,663 | 5,204 | 7,940 | 1,795 | 850 | 1,195 | 81,825 | |
| July | 25,276 | 21,211 | 18,167 | 5,165 | 8,424 | 1,617 | 819 | 1,297 | 81,976 | |
| August | 25,921 | 21,770 | 18,173 | 5,227 | 8,747 | 1,629 | 809 | 1,301 | 83,577 | |
| September | 26,011 | 21,654 | 18,388 | 5,299 | 9,020 | 2,014 | 839 | 1,313 | 84,538 | |
| October | 23,519 | 20,840 | 17,357 | 5,228 | 8,599 | 1,610 | 727 | 1,190 | 79,070 | |
| November | 24,269 | 21,361 | 17,273 | 5,317 | 8,886 | 1,457 | 720 | 1,208 | 80,491 | |
| December | 24,455 | 21,785 | 17,341 | 5,275 | 8,710 | 1,584 | 761 | 1,185 | 81,096 | |
| |
Trend | |
| |
2004 | October | 25,550 | 21,111 | 17,257 | 5,367 | 7,942 | 1,704 | 746 | 1,216 | 80,893 | |
| November | 25,851 | 21,417 | 17,389 | 5,387 | 7,974 | 1,734 | 749 | 1,244 | 81,745 | |
| December | 26,197 | 21,596 | 17,550 | 5,409 | 7,988 | 1,744 | 756 | 1,273 | 82,513 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 26,455 | 21,626 | 17,736 | 5,430 | 7,990 | 1,741 | 765 | 1,288 | 83,031 | |
| February | 26,503 | 21,541 | 17,926 | 5,443 | 7,994 | 1,730 | 779 | 1,283 | 83,199 | |
| March | 26,330 | 21,416 | 18,094 | 5,440 | 8,005 | 1,713 | 792 | 1,267 | 83,057 | |
| April | 26,057 | 21,327 | 18,239 | 5,408 | 8,049 | 1,697 | 808 | 1,252 | 82,837 | |
| May | 25,765 | 21,303 | 18,343 | 5,348 | 8,131 | 1,691 | 817 | 1,245 | 82,643 | |
| June | 25,506 | 21,319 | 18,372 | 5,280 | 8,261 | 1,692 | 819 | 1,247 | 82,496 | |
| July | 25,331 | 21,368 | 18,313 | 5,239 | 8,425 | 1,692 | 816 | 1,254 | 82,438 | |
| August | 25,209 | 21,411 | 18,164 | 5,236 | 8,591 | 1,684 | 807 | 1,263 | 82,365 | |
| September | 25,010 | 21,411 | 17,936 | 5,244 | 8,712 | 1,659 | 790 | 1,259 | 82,021 | |
| October | 24,753 | 21,413 | 17,700 | 5,257 | 8,795 | 1,627 | 771 | 1,243 | 81,559 | |
| November | 24,497 | 21,429 | 17,488 | 5,272 | 8,846 | 1,591 | 753 | 1,224 | 81,100 | |
| December | 24,278 | 21,466 | 17,286 | 5,294 | 8,871 | 1,556 | 737 | 1,204 | 80,692 | |
| |
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. | |
|